How do experienced founders develop the instincts needed to handle startup uncertainty?

I’ve spent 5 years as a PM at FAANG, but recently took the leap to build my own SaaS tool. The whiplash from predictable roadmaps to constant firefighting is real. Senior PM skills don’t translate to decisions like cutting features vs missing deadlines when your runway’s burning. What frameworks have actual founders used to build decision-making muscles for this chaos? How do you prioritize when every choice feels existential?

welcome to the thunderdome, junior. frameworks? toss em. real founder instinct comes from failing so hard you develop survival ptsd. that ‘critical challenge’ talk is consultant nonsense - the only framework is choosing which bridge to burn first when your 3am panic attacks become daily affirmations

omg following! i tried the lean canvas thing but customers kept changing their minds?? how do u even know which advice to trust :sweat_smile:

Two practices changed everything for me: 1) Implement weekly ‘pre-mortems’ - visualize worst-case scenarios for decisions before committing. 2) Build a ‘failure tax’ into your planning - allocate 20% of resources to fix inevitable bad bets. It’s less about avoiding mistakes than creating rapid recovery systems.

You’ve got this!! Embrace the rollercoaster :roller_coaster: Every stumble is progress in disguise!

Analysis of 127 Series A startups shows founders who implemented daily decision journals reduced pivot lag time by 37%. Track 3 variables per choice: assumptions made, expected outcome timeline, confidence level. Review weekly to identify cognitive biases.